Each Mega Evolution pack has 9 cards. The rarest kind, Mega Hyper Rare, turns up about 1 in 253 packs. The top chase card, Mega Lucario ex, is about 1 in 506.
Test the odds: open a Mega Evolution pack right hereA free digital pack with the set's real pull rates. Nothing to buy, no signup.
Tap the pack to open itCards flip one by one. Rarest last.
What makes Mega Evolution special
Mega Evolution (2025) brought Mega Evolution back to the card game as Mega Pokémon ex, starting a new era with Mega Lucario and Mega Gardevoir.
Did you know?
The first expansion of the new Mega Evolution Series, bringing Mega Evolution back as Mega Evolution Pokémon ex, led by Mega Lucario ex and Mega Gardevoir ex. press.pokemon.com
Mega Evolution Pokémon ex have extra HP and damage, but give up three Prize cards when Knocked Out. press.pokemon.com
Its ultra rare Mega cards use a new art style that can show a silhouette of the Pokémon before it Mega Evolved, and it introduced ultra rare Item, Stadium and Pokémon Tool cards. press.pokemon.com
As an investment, rarely: the average pack pulls about $3.40 of cards against about $4.50 in stores, and a typical pack about 45¢. But most people open packs for the reveal, the art and the Pokémon they love, and that part you can have here for free.
$3.40
average pull per pack
45¢
typical pack (half pull less)
$4.50
store price of a new pack
9%
of packs pull more than they cost
45¢$4.34
8 in 10 packs pull between 45¢ and $4.34. The gold line is the store price of a new pack.
From 5,000 packs opened with the same odds Holobrook uses, valued at current market prices (regular printings), with cards under $1 counted as bulk at 5¢ since they rarely sell for more. Store price is the usual price of a new pack. Opening packs on Holobrook is free.
Odds are worked out across only the rarities that exist in Mega Evolution, so they’re specific to this set. They are community estimates, not official, and they’re the exact odds Holobrook’s packs use. A rare God Pack (all hits) turns up about 1 in 1,000.
Questions about Mega Evolution packs
What are the pull rates for Mega Evolution?
Each Mega Evolution pack has 9 cards. Special Illustration Rare: 1 in 64 packs; Illustration Rare: 1 in 10 packs; Ultra Rare: 1 in 12 packs; Double Rare: 1 in 5 packs. These are community estimates, not official odds.
How rare is Mega Lucario ex in Mega Evolution?
About 1 in 506 packs. Half of players would pull it within 351 packs, and 9 in 10 within 1,164.
Is a Mega Evolution pack worth opening?
On average a pack pulls about $3.40 of cards, and a typical pack about 45¢, against about $4.50 for a new pack in stores. About 9% of packs pull more than they cost. Most people open packs for the fun of the reveal and the Pokémon they love, not as an investment.
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