Shining Fates pull rates

Each Shining Fates pack has 9 cards. The rarest kind, Amazing Rare, turns up about 1 in 103 packs. The top chase card, Poké Kid, is about 1 in 140.

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What makes Shining Fates special

Shining Fates (2021) brought back the Shiny Vault with shiny V and VMAX Pokémon, including a shiny Charizard VMAX.

Did you know?

A Shiny Vault subset of 122 cards brought more than 100 Shiny Pokémon on etched cards. bulbapedia.bulbagarden.net
Shiny Charizard VMAX in its Gigantamax form was the set's headline card. bulbapedia.bulbagarden.net
Its name is made from words in Shining Legends and Hidden Fates, two earlier sets also focused on Shiny Pokémon. bulbapedia.bulbagarden.net

Favorites you can find here

Eevee

DittoRare Holo VMAX

Pokémon highlights

47 different Pokémon; most featured: Morpeko (4 cards), Cramorant (3 cards), Ditto (2 cards).

Galar 40% Sinnoh 17% Kanto 11% Johto 9% Hoenn 9%

Grass 28%Water 19%Lightning 14%Darkness 14%Colorless 12%

Featured artists

Hideki Ishikawa4 cards here · Bird Keeper

Hitoshi Ariga3 cards here · Ball Guy

Kouki Saitou2 cards here · Zarude

Souichirou Gunjima2 cards here · Indeedee

Uta2 cards here · Cacnea

HYOGONOSUKE2 cards here · Cramorant

Drawn by 43 artists in all. Tap one to see everything they have drawn.

What a Shining Fates pack pulls

Sealed Shining Fates packs are collector’s items now, so opening one is about the memories and the moment of the reveal. On average a pack pulls about 85¢ of cards, and a typical pack about 45¢.

85¢

average pull per pack

45¢

typical pack (half pull less)

$1.84

a good pack (better than 9 in 10)

$9.30

best of 5,000 packs

8 in 10 packs pull between 45¢ and $1.84.

From 5,000 packs opened with the same odds Holobrook uses, valued at current market prices (regular printings), with cards under $1 counted as bulk at 5¢ since they rarely sell for more. Opening packs on Holobrook is free.

Chase cards and how long they take

The most valuable cards in Shining Fates, how often each turns up, and how many packs it usually takes.

Poké Kid

Rare Ultra · $8.90

1 in 140 packs

Half of players pull it within 97 packs; 9 in 10 within 322.

Skyla

Rare Ultra · $8.84

1 in 140 packs

Half of players pull it within 97 packs; 9 in 10 within 322.

Alcremie V

Rare Ultra · $6.37

1 in 140 packs

Half of players pull it within 97 packs; 9 in 10 within 322.

Ditto VMAX

Rare Holo VMAX · $4.83

1 in 186 packs

Half of players pull it within 129 packs; 9 in 10 within 428.

Kyogre

Amazing Rare · $3.97

1 in 310 packs

Half of players pull it within 215 packs; 9 in 10 within 713.

Ball Guy

Rare Ultra · $3.87

1 in 140 packs

Half of players pull it within 97 packs; 9 in 10 within 322.

Morpeko VMAX

Rare Holo VMAX · $3.84

1 in 186 packs

Half of players pull it within 129 packs; 9 in 10 within 428.

Alcremie VMAX

Rare Rainbow · $3.60

1 in 78 packs

Half of players pull it within 54 packs; 9 in 10 within 179.

Odds by rarity

What’s in each pack: 4 commons, 3 uncommons, 1 reverse holo, 1 hit, a bonus from Shining Fates Shiny Vault in 1 of 3 packs.

Rarity	Pull rate (packs)	Per pack	In this set
Rare Rainbow best: Alcremie VMAX$3.60	1 in 78	0.01	1 card
Rare Ultra best: Poké Kid$8.90	1 in 16	0.06	9 cards
Amazing Rare best: Kyogre$3.97	1 in 103	0.01	3 cards
Rare Holo VMAX best: Ditto VMAX$4.83	1 in 31	0.03	6 cards
Rare Holo V best: Ditto V$1.61	1 in 10	0.10	8 cards
Rare Holo best: Galarian Weezing$0.31	1 in 4	0.23	7 cards
Rare best: Celebi$0.55	1 in 2	0.66	8 cards
Uncommon best: Rusted Sword$0.31	Every pack	3.4	13 cards
Common best: Eevee$0.76	Every pack	4.5	18 cards

Odds are worked out across only the rarities that exist in Shining Fates, so they’re specific to this set. They are community estimates, not official, and they’re the exact odds Holobrook’s packs use. A rare God Pack (all hits) turns up about 1 in 1,000.

Questions about Shining Fates packs

What are the pull rates for Shining Fates?

Each Shining Fates pack has 9 cards. Rare Rainbow: 1 in 78 packs; Rare Ultra: 1 in 16 packs; Amazing Rare: 1 in 103 packs; Rare Holo VMAX: 1 in 31 packs. These are community estimates, not official odds.

How rare is Poké Kid in Shining Fates?

About 1 in 140 packs. Half of players would pull it within 97 packs, and 9 in 10 within 322.

Is a Shining Fates pack worth opening?

On average a pack pulls about 85¢ of cards, and a typical pack about 45¢. Sealed Shining Fates packs are collector’s items now, so opening one is about the memories and the reveal more than the money.

How many cards are in a Shining Fates pack?

9 cards: 4 commons, 3 uncommons, 1 reverse holo, 1 hit, a bonus from Shining Fates Shiny Vault in 1 of 3 packs.